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B.C. budget lacks effective plan for finances and economy
Program spending is projected to increase from pre-pandemic levels by 15.2 per cent in 2021/22. ...
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Trudeau government should heed looming risks to federal finances
Appeared in the Globe and Mail, October 23, 2020 The federal government along with several prominent economists have downplayed the near-term risks to federal finances. Some have actually characterized Ottawa’s financial position as basically “ sound.” ...
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Another tough year for Alberta finances
Another year, another deficit. The Government of Alberta has run nearly uninterrupted deficits since 2008/09, and this year is no exception. In fact, that $10.3 billion deficit the province plans to run this year is just shy of the ...
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Saskatchewan has a plan to balance its budget, Alberta doesn’t
Appeared in the Calgary Sun, March 27, 2017 Alberta and Saskatchewan are energy-rich jurisdictions that fell on hard times as commodity prices fell. And both jurisdictions face significant fiscal challenges, with large budget deficits and substantial debt ...
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Morneau’s ‘Plan for Middle Class Progress’ cuts GDP by $131 billion
Appeared in the Toronto Sun, November 2, 2016 On Tuesday, Federal Finance Minister Bill Morneau released his government’s Fall Economic Statement titled A Plan for Middle Class Progress. As noted in the release, “Finance Minister Bill Morneau announced ...
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Federal deficits could total nearly $200 billion over next five years
Appeared in the Financial Post, May 12, 2016 As the saying goes, a moving target is hard to hit. That is why repeated shifts in the federal government’s deficit and debt goals over the past six months have been so concerning. What started as a promise to ...
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Moving Targets: Re-estimating Federal Deficits and Debt-to-GDP through 2020/21
The federal government has repeatedly shifted the goal posts on its own “fiscal anchors.” This bulletin examines the robustness of the current “fiscal anchor” to reduce the debt-to-GDP ratio by the government’s first mandate. The 2016 federal budget ...
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Newfoundland & Labrador’s massive debt and deficits demand bold action
Appeared in National Newswatch, February 15, 2016 On the easternmost part of the country, a fiscal storm is brewing. Newfoundland & Labrador’s provincial finances are in a dire state. The government’s latest projections have the province facing a ...
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End of the Chretien Consensus in Canada?
Appeared in the Financial Post, November 24, 2015 Canada enjoyed an economic and fiscal renaissance starting in the mid-1990s that lasted more than a decade. The boom was rooted in sound fiscal policy (balanced budgets, focused spending, and tax ...
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Prentice chooses Getty over Klein; further erodes Alberta Advantage
Appeared in the Calgary Sun With tumbling oil prices and resource revenues, Premier Jim Prentice had a choice when he delivered Alberta’s 2015 budget. He could emulate former premier Don Getty and raise taxes or follow the Ralph Klein playbook and reduce ...