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  1. Deficits for 50 years—a plan fraught with risks and consequences

    The Trudeau government plans to implement new spending programs including national childcare and pharmacare. ...

  2. Interest Cost Risks to Government Budgets

    This essay calculates the change in government interest costs and budget balances if interest costs return to their 2019-20 levels. Estimates are calculated for 2021-22 gross debt levels for each of the provinces and the federal government. ...

  3. 2021 budgets establish uncertain future for government finances in Canada

    The Trudeau government forecasts a $154.7 billion budget deficit in 2021/22. ...

  4. Trudeau ‘childcare’ plan remains opaque, contradicts other federal policy

    The plan calls for $27.2 billion over the next five years to reduce daycare costs. ...

  5. Federal budget speech disregards key drivers of economic prosperity

    From 2016 to 2019, Canada saw relatively low rates of growth in incomes and private-sector job creation. ...

  6. Federal ‘stimulus’ spending will likely arrive late with minimal benefits

    The government says $101 billion in stimulus spending is required for “sustained economic recovery.” ...

  7. Federal budget lacks realistic recovery plan despite all the red ink

    The federal debt-to-GDP ratio will reach 51.2 per cent, the highest level since 1999. ...

  8. Stimulus spending on infrastructure won’t ‘kickstart’ COVID recovery

    Federal debt as a share of the economy will reach roughly 56 per cent, the highest percentage since 1998. ...

  9. Spending reductions—not tax increases—key to economic recovery and budget balance

    According to current projections, the federal government will not balance the budget until 2050. ...

  10. To fulfill Trudeau’s latest fiscal promise, spring budget must chart path to budget balance

    Prime Minister Trudeau’s end-of-year comments, where he committed to “absolutely” returning to a balanced budget post-COVID, will continue to ring hollow unless the spring budget includes decisive action. The pre-Christmas statement to ...